Experts Confirm: No Country in the World Has the Technology to Predict Earthquakes a Few Days in Advance

No Technology to Predict Earthquakes

According to Gennady Negmetov, a senior researcher at the Russian Research Institute for Civil Defense and Emergencies, no country in the world has the technology to predict earthquakes a few days in advance. Despite the presence of over 600 earthquake warning stations, there is currently no technology capable of predicting earthquakes in the short term.

Predictions regarding the timing, strength, and coordinates of earthquakes are not possible with existing technology. However, research in this field continues without interruption.

While it is now possible to predict the probability of earthquakes with a high degree of accuracy for the medium or long term in known seismic zones, short-term forecasts are still limited. There have been a few cases where short-term forecasts of strong earthquakes were successful, such as the one in northeast China in 1975. In that instance, residents were alerted and evacuated, resulting in a significant reduction in casualties.

Currently, there are more than 600 short-term warning stations, but not all of them are capable of accurately predicting an imminent earthquake. Therefore, it is not advisable to rely solely on these stations for predicting earthquakes.

To assess seismic activity, comprehensive and continuous monitoring is necessary. This involves evaluating preliminary indicators using specific criteria to determine the level of danger. Although this process can be time-consuming and costly, it can be facilitated by using specialized computer software to analyze recorded data.

Source: News